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The long term real exchange rate in Brazil

Authors
  • Marco Flávio da Cunha Resende

  • Giordano Bruno Braz de Pinto Matos

Keywords:
Câmbio, Mercado financeiro, Liquidez
Abstract
The theoretical and empirical international trade literature suggests that there is long-term valuation/devaluation of the real exchange rate in the developed/ /undeveloped economies. We argue that the real exchange rate is affected by: i) intercountry differentials of the services sector development; and, ii) non-neutral characteristic of the international financial system, demonstrated in the Post-Keynesian approach. Based on items (i) and (ii) an equation for the Brazilian real exchange rate was estimated in this paper (1971-2002). The econometric procedures were based on the Engle-Granger and Johansen methods. The results do not reject the hypothesis put forward in this paper.
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